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1290 record(s) found.
Papers & Reports Anuran site occupancy and species richness as tools for evaluating restoration of a hydrologically-modified landscape
Papers & Reports Breeding site heterogeneity reduces variability in frog recruitment and population dynamics
News & Stories 2013 ARMI Meeting
The Northeast Region hosted the ARMI meeting this year. During this annual meeting, ARMI develops new research projects, brainstorms ideas, and working on new quantitative developments. ARMI loves a creative question, and many have their start at these meetings.
News & Stories ARMI project selected by The Powell Center - Elucidating mechanisms underlying amphibian declines in North America using hierarchical spatial models
ARMI scientists Evan Grant and Erin Muths, teamed with David Miller (former ARMI post doc and now professor at Pennsylvania State University) to produce the proposal that was selected for Powell Center Support for 2014-2015. The Powell Center is a USGS center that facilitates the development of new and innovative processes by which scientific understanding can be applied to significant and complex issues in a unique setting for analysis and data synthesis.
The proposal moves forward from the recently published paper describing the magnitude of amphibian declines in the U.S. (Adams et al. 2013), and will now examine the mechanisms of decline using a data driven, but model-based, approach. Though focused on North America, the insights will be applicable to other systems and will lay the foundation for a larger, perhaps international, assessment of mechanisms behind global amphibian declines.
The 15 member working group includes not only ARMI scientists and data collected over the last 10 years, but others with long-term data on amphibians including scientists from Canada, Mexico and Europe. The first working group meeting will be held in Fort Collins in January 2014. A hallmark of the Powell Center is that it is "a scientist-driven institution where leveraging existing research efforts produces powerful new insights and moves scientific understanding and its inclusion into management forward at an accelerated pace."
Proposal abstract:
Amphibian populations are declining globally at unprecedented rates but statistically rigorous identification of mechanisms is lacking. Identification of reasons underlying large-scale declines is imperative to plan and implement effective conservation efforts. Most research on amphibian population decline has focused on local populations and local factors. However, the ubiquity of declines across species and landscapes suggests that causal factors at a broader scale are also important. Elucidation of the mechanisms driving population change has lagged, mainly because data have been unavailable at continental scales.
We propose to address this need by assembling data to answer questions about broad-scale drivers of amphibian decline. We will examine alterations in timing and availability of surface-water habitat (driven principally by climate change), as first order variables that control the probabilities of breeding, successful metamorphosis, and return rates of amphibians. Climate change (and its influence on shifting temperatures) is also correlated with other agents of decline such as disease and amplification of cyclical population dynamics; we consider these second-order effects.
Furthermore, data on other causal mechanisms are not available at broad-scales. We will use monitoring data (core data from USGS Amphibian Research and Monitoring Initiative, supplemented by data from collaborators in Canada, the U.S., and Mexico) and state-of-the-art statistical techniques to examine broad-scale mechanisms associated with changes in amphibian occupancy.
We will develop hypotheses for climate-induced shifts in occupancy dynamics, and test these hypotheses using a dataset representing many individual projects and regions from across North America. We will formulate the problem in hierarchical Bayesian models to examine multi-scale processes affecting patterns of species occupancy. This analysis of population trends across multiple spatial scales will facilitate the first rigorous quantitative examination of mechanisms affecting occupancy of amphibians across North America, and provide a continent-wide assessment of the contribution of climate-related factors to declines in amphibian populations. Hypotheses and methods developed through this collaborative effort will be useful in other locations experiencing amphibian declines (e.g., Australia, Europe) and our modeling approach will be useful for assessments of other taxa.
Associated PDF: http://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0064347
Papers & Reports Modeling structured population dynamics using data from unmarked individuals
abundance and vital rates that account for the demographic structure inherent in all wildlife
and plant populations. Traditionally, these estimates have only been available through
approaches that rely on intensive capture–recapture data. We extended recently developed Nmixture
models to demonstrate how demographic parameters and abundance can be estimated
for structured populations using only stage-structured count data. Our modeling framework
can be used to make reliable inferences on abundance as well as recruitment, immigration,
stage-specific survival, and detection rates during sampling. We present a range of simulations
to illustrate the data requirements, including the number of years and locations necessary for
accurate and precise parameter estimates. We apply our modeling framework to a population
of northern dusky salamanders (Desmognathus fuscus) in the mid-Atlantic region (USA) and
find that the population is unexpectedly declining. Our approach represents a valuable
advance in the estimation of population dynamics using multistate data from unmarked
individuals and should additionally be useful in the development of integrated models that
combine data from intensive (e.g., capture–recapture) and extensive (e.g., counts) data
sources.
Papers & Reports ARMI 2012 Annual Update
Full text: http://armi.usgs.gov/docs/ARMI%202012%20Annual%20Update.pdf
Papers & Reports ARMI 2011 Annual Update
Full text: http://armi.usgs.gov/docs/ARMI%202011%20Annual%20Update.pdf (PDF*)
Papers & Reports Amphibians in the climate vice: loss and restoration of relilience of montane wetland ecosystems of the American West
Papers & Reports Wetland Reserve Program enhances site occupancy and species richness in assemblages of anuran amphibians in the Lower Mississippi Valley, USA
News & Stories ARMI researchers interviewed on live radio show
Michael Adams and Susan Walls, ARMI scientists and authors on the recent paper about national amphibian declines ("Trends in Amphibian Occupancy in the United States") were interviewed on the live radio show "Gulf Coast Live" (WGCU; National Public Radio; Southwest Florida)!
Tune in to hear the show! http://news.wgcu.org/post/amphibians-decline
Papers & Reports Assessing the terrestrial movement patterns and habitat preferences of the common toad (Bufo bufo) in a montane area of Central Spain
Papers & Reports COMPARATIVE MICROHABITAT CHARACTERISTICS AT OVIPOSITON SITES OF THE CALIFORNIA RED-LEGGED FROG (RANA DRAYTONII)
Papers & Reports Co-Occurrence of Invasive Cuban Treefrogs and Native Treefrogs in PVC Pipe Refugia
Papers & Reports RANA DRAYTONII (California Red-legged Frog). UNUSUAL DEATH
Papers & Reports Correction of Locality Records for the Endangered Arroyo Toad (Anaxyrus californicus) from the Desert Region of Southern California
Papers & Reports Evolutionary Hotspots in the Mojave Desert
Papers & Reports Comparative phylogeography reveals deep lineages and regional evolutionary hotspots in the Mojave and Sonoran Deserts
Location Mojave, Colorado, and Sonoran Deserts, USA.
Methods We analysed previously published gene sequence data for twelve species. We used Bayesian gene tree methods to estimate lineages and divergence times. Within each lineage, we tested for population expansion and age of expansion using coalescent approaches. We mapped interpopulation genetic divergence and intra-population genetic diversity in a GIS to identify hotspots of highest genetic divergence and diversity and to assess whether protected lands overlapped with evolutionary hotspots.
Results In seven of the 12 species, lineage divergence substantially predated the Pleistocene. Historical population expansion was found in eight species, but expansion events postdated the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) in only four. For all species assessed, six hotspots of high genetic divergence and diversity were concentrated in the Colorado Desert, along the Colorado River and in the Mojave/Sonoran ecotone. At least some proportion of the land within each recovered hotspot was categorized as protected, yet four of the six also overlapped with major areas of human development.
Main conclusions Most of the species studied here diversified into distinct Mojave and Sonoran lineages prior to the LGM – supporting older diversification hypotheses. Several evolutionary hotspots were recovered but are not strategically paired with areas of protected land. Long-term preservation of species-level biodiversity would entail selecting areas for protection in Mojave and Sonoran Deserts to retain divergent genetic diversity and ensure connectedness across environmental gradients.
News & Stories Pesticide Accumulation in Chorus Frogs of the Sierra Nevada
ARMI researchers in California published a paper today about their work on pesticide detection in Pacific chorus frogs (Pseudacris regilla) in the Sierra Nevada. The paper published today in the scientific journal Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry and under lead author Kelly Smalling, reports that several currentuse pesticides, especially fungicides, were found in the tissues of frogs collected from various remote and protected areas in California. Notably, on many occasions when pesticides were detected in the frog tissue, they were not detected in the accompanying water and sediment samples. http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/article.asp?ID=3650
Papers & Reports Population-level thermal performance of a cold-water ectotherm is linked to ontogeny and local environmental heterogeneity
2. Habitat use, vulnerabilities and mechanisms for coping with local conditions can differ among populations and ontogentically within populations, potentially affecting species-level responses to climate change. However, we still have little knowledge of mean thermal performance for many vertebrates, let alone variation in performance among populations. Assessment of these sources of variation in thermal performance is critical for projecting the effects of climate change on species and for identifying management strategies to ameliorate its effects.
3. To gauge how populations of the Rocky Mountain tailed frog (Ascaphus montanus) might respond to long-term effects of climate change, we measured the ability of tadpoles from six populations in Glacier National Park (Montana, USA) to acclimate to a range of temperatures. We compared survival among populations according to tadpole age (age 1-yr or 2-yr) and according to the mean and variance of late-summer temperatures in natal streams.
4. The ability of tadpoles to acclimate to warm temperatures increased with age and with variance in late-summer temperature of natal streams. Moreover, performance differed among populations from the same catchment.
5. Our experiments with a cold-water species show that population-level performance varies across small geographic scales and is linked to local environmental heterogeneity. This variation could influence the rate and mode of species-level responses to climate change, both by facilitating local persistence in the face of changes in thermal conditions, and by providing thermally-tolerant colonists to neighbouring populations.
News & Stories The Oregonian meets ARMI scientist Michael Adams
Staff from The Oregonian, based in Portland Oregon, went out to the Willamette National Forest with ARMI scientist Michael Adams and some of his field crew to talk about the state of amphibians.
Adams, lead author of the recent paper on national declines in amphibian populations ( dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0064347 ) discussed the findings of the paper and what it takes to acquire and analyze these kinds of data.
LINK to The Oregonian http://www.oregonlive.com/environment/index.ssf/2013/06/as_numbers_decline_hunting_for.html